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Sunday, November 13, 2005

Memo to Democrats: Don't nominate someone unelectable

Watching "The McLaughlin Group" this morning I was reminded that pundits across the political spectrum are expecting that the Democrats will end up nominating Hillary Clinton for President in 2008. This depresses me. With the Republicans leaning into the ropes, and looking to take further body blows in the next few years, the Democrats seem to be setting themselves up for another martyrdom where victory is possible.

I am convinced that Hillary Clinton is not electable. Yes, she's done as good a job as anyone could of remaking herself, but she can only conceal, not eradicate, the arrogant, vindictive, snake-like nature that showed up so often during her husband's administration. She has become accepted as a senator from New York despite having had zero connection to the state when she sought the office (I had a better claim than she did, and I've lived in Seattle since 1995). She has managed to never really have to own up to being her husband's dupe (at best . . . co-obfuscator at worst) for the better part of a year, beginning with her "vast right-wing conspiracy" comment.

However, all the bad stuff, and new bad stuff, will well to the surface in a presidential campaign. Even if that does not happen, there is a large pre-existing anti-Hillary vote that isn't going anywhere. I would expect that if a poll were taken listing every potential candidate in both parties, with the question "who would you walk 10 miles in the snow to vote against?" she would top the list (I'm assuming Cheney won't be on the list). The anti-Hillary voters are totally entrenched.

I don't care for Hillary the person because I have a long memory, but I'm much less distressed by her personally than by the prospect of Hillary the presidential nominee. She cannot win. She is unelectable. Can you imagine her carrying any state that went for Bush in 2004? I can't. Do you think evangelicals turned out in droves in 2004? Every last one of them will be turning out in 2008 if Hillary is on the ticket. You think "I voted for it before I voted against it" was damaging? Imagine the kinds of flip-flops they'll dig up on Hillary, a person almost uniquely dedicated to her own advancement.

Anyway, I'll stop now. But I'm on record as saying that the Democrats will be making a huge mistake if they nominate Hillary Clinton.

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posted at 11:55 AM

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